Pathogen fitness is driven by how its human and animal hosts interact with each other and the environment to create patterns of susceptibility and transmission. This project aims to use host, pathogen and environmental data from East Asia to understand the drivers of pathogen fitness and characteristics of pathogens that may emerge in the future. Computational simulations of real and hypothetical pathogens will be constructed using host demography and pathogen transmission models that track fitness as a function of host contact patterns, demographic and susceptibility profiles, and other ecological and environmental drivers.
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